LaplandSnow

Snow Score

Confidence: High

21 / 100

Poor

Likely range

9–41

Where 8 in 10 of the winters behind this score land.

Forecastnot yet verified

Forecast covers 7 of 8 trip days.

The trip starts in 2 days.

The score covers all 8 days of the trip, first and last included.

What makes up this score

Six probabilities for these dates, from the same winters as the score. The methodology page explains how they combine.

Forecastnot yet verified

How the Snow Score works

  • Snow on the ground

    19% unlikely

    Share of trip days with at least 1 cm of snow on the ground.

  • Snow on every day

    3% very unlikely

    Chance that every day of the trip has at least 1 cm of snow.

  • Deep snow

    3% very unlikely

    Share of trip days with at least 20 cm of snow.

  • Fresh snowfall

    24% unlikely

    Chance of at least one fresh snowfall, from the eve of arrival to the last day.

  • Cold days

    20% unlikely

    Share of trip days when the highest temperature stays below 0 °C.

  • Rainy days

    30% unlikely

    Share of trip days with measurable rain (0.5 mm or more).

Snow depth

No lasting snow

In most of the winters behind this score there is no snow cover on these dates.

Latest snow reading

Latest reading: 0 cm at Inari Saariselkä, 0.7 km from Saariselkä, on 7 Oct.

ObservedInari Saariselkä · 7 Oct

Natural snow is measured at weather stations that can be several kilometres from resorts and slopes.

How this outlook has moved

One point per daily update: the line is the Snow Score and the green band its likely range. Days without an update are left as gaps.

Tracked since 3 Oct 2026 · 5 daily updates

Snow Score from 3 Oct to 7 Oct 2026: it fell from 29 to 21, and the likely range narrowed from 5–69 to 9–41.
  • Snow Score
  • Likely range
  • Your trip
  • Not read yet

Dashed area: days not read yet. A new point is added with each daily update until the trip ends.

Daily Snow Score updates for 10–17 Oct 2026: score, likely range, source and confidence
DateSnow ScoreLikely rangeSourceConfidence
3 Oct295–69ObservedMedium
4 Oct295–69ObservedMedium
5 Oct295–69ObservedMedium
6 Oct285–69ObservedMedium
7 Oct219–41Forecast, not yet verifiedHigh

What changed

  • Forecast reached the trip

    Weather forecasts started to cover some days of the trip.

  • Confidence changed

    From Medium to High.

  • The model was updated

    A jump on this day may come from the new method rather than from the weather.

Sources

  • Weather observations: Finnish Meteorological Institute open data (Ilmatieteen laitoksen avoin data), daily weather observations, retrieved daily, modified · CC BY 4.0
  • Data from MET Norway (Locationforecast), modified · CC BY 4.0
  • SMHI open data, modified · CC BY 4.0

Snow Scores as of 7 Oct 2026